By Aaron Bearden

A look at the Cup Series playoff situation leaving April’s trip to Talladega Superspeedway. 

Race: GEICO 500

Race No.: 10/36

Winner: Tyler Reddick

Stage Winner(s): Austin Cindric, Joey Logano

Winners

  • Tyler Reddick: The No. 45 team was already in a good place points-wise relative to the playoff bubble entering Talladega. But Reddick’s late surge to the front made points a non-factor. Now the Californian is locked into the playoffs and his team can go to work to try to improve on last year’s Round of 8 appearance.
  • Austin Cindric and Joey Logano: This Team Penske duo didn’t get the win they were after. But Cindric and Logano at least earned stage wins to take potential playoff points away from the Talladega weekend. That’s better than nothing.
  • Brad Keselowski and Alex Bowman: Neither veteran earned an elusive victory, but Keselowski and Bowman each finished in the top-five on a day when most playoff contenders faltered to help their standing in the points. Bowman is now 16 points above the cutline in 10th, while Keselowski is nine points up in 14th.

Losers

  • Underdogs: It might not seem like it, but Sunday was one of the final great upset opportunities of the regular season. The only remaining superspeedway for the next 16 weeks is the Aug. 24 trip to Daytona International Speedway. So for drivers that entered well below the cutline and had a chance in the closing laps, this is going to be a chance that slipped away.
  • Ford: In a year where Chevrolet and Toyota – namely Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing – are siphoning away all the wins and playoff points, Ford had a chance to stop the bleeding in Talladega and get a small boost. It saw its drivers leading the way off of Turn 4 only to crash and allow Toyota’s Reddick slip by for the win. That’s a major miss at a time when Ford remains winless.
  • Kyle Larson (maybe): For the second-straight week, the No. 5 team is on hot ice for issues tied to the pit crew. This time an unapproved adjustment on the way to the qualifying gird saw Larson forced to sit out time trials and take a pass-through penalty under green. It hampered his day in Talladega – now we wait to see if penalties come from it.
  • The Rest of Toyota: While Reddick went the victory lane, the bulk of the Toyota contingent was caught out in a vicious crash during the final stage. Erik Jones was sent to a local hospital for evaluation and everyone else finished outside of the top-10, with five Toyota drivers taking the last six spots. Lost opportunity.
  • Chris Buescher and Kyle Busch: These two ended up with finishes of 25th and 27th, dropping them into the last two spots outside of the current playoff grid. The good news is that most of the gimmicky races of the regular season are now behind them, so the pair can focus on grinding out consistent finishes moving forward.

Playoff Grid

Rank Driver Wins Points Gap
4 William Byron 3 335 81
6 Denny Hamlin 2 308 63
1 Kyle Larson 1 359 167
3 Chase Elliott 1 337 104
5 Tyler Reddick 1 316 71
13 Christopher Bell 1 255 10
18 Daniel Suarez 1 221 -24
2 Martin Truex Jr. 0 344 99
7 Ryan Blaney 0 302 57
8 Ty Gibbs 0 296 51
9 Ross Chastain 0 277 32
10 Alex Bowman 0 261 16
11 Bubba Wallace 0 257 12
12 Chase Briscoe 0 256 11
14 Brad Keselowski 0 254 9
15 (t) Joey Logano 0 245 0
Playoff Cutoff
15 (t) Chris Buescher 0 245 0
17 Kyle Busch 0 233 -12
19 Austin Cindric 0 192 -53
20 Erik Jones 0 181 -64
21 Carson Hocevar 0 172 -73
22 John H. Nemechek 0 164 -81
23 Ryan Preece 0 162 -83
24 Todd Gilliland 0 161 -84
25 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 0 160 -85
26 Michael McDowell 0 157 -88
27 Noah Gragson 0 154 -91
28 Josh Berry 0 151 -94
29 (t) Daniel Hemric 0 140 -105
29 (t) Corey LaJoie 0 139 -106
31 Austin Dillon 0 136 -109
32 Harrison Burton 0 117 -128
33 Justin Haley 0 101 -144
35 Zane Smith 0 86 -159

Above the Cutline

(All But) Locked In

Winners: William Byron (3), Denny Hamlin (2), Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

Drivers 60+ points up on the cutline: Martin Truex Jr.

Safe (For Now)

Drivers 40-59 points above the cutline: Ryan Blaney, Ty Gibbs

In the Danger Zone

Drivers within 40 points of the cutline: Ross Chastain, Alex Bowman, Bubba Wallace, Chase Briscoe, Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano

Below the Cutline

Within Reach

Drivers within 50 points of the bubble: Chris Buescher, Kyle Busch

Looking For A Win

Drivers 51+ points below the cutline: Austin Cindric, Erik Jones, Carson Hocevar, John Hunter Nemechek, Ryan Preece, Todd Gilliland, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Michael McDowell, Noah Gragson, Josh Berry, Daniel Hemric, Corey LaJoie, Austin Dillon, Harrison Burton, Justin Haley, Zane Smith


Race Results

  1. Tyler Reddick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Noah Gragson
  4. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
  5. Alex Bowman
  6. Anthony Alfredo
  7. William Byron
  8. Todd Gilliland
  9. Daniel Hemric
  10. Harrison Burton
  11. Martin Truex Jr.
  12. Chase Briscoe
  13. Ross Chastain
  14. Ryan Preece
  15. Chase Elliott
  16. Josh Berry
  17. Carson Hocevar
  18. Corey LaJoie
  19. Joey Logano
  20. Ryan Blaney
  21. Kyle Larson
  22. Ty Gibbs
  23. Austin Cindric
  24. Cody Ware
  25. Chris Buescher
  26. Daniel Suarez
  27. Kyle Busch
  28. Shane van Gisbergen
  29. Zane Smith
  30. Austin Dillon
  31. Michael McDowell
  32. BJ McLeod
  33. John Hunter Nemechek
  34. Justin Haley
  35. Erik Jones
  36. Bubba Wallace
  37. Denny Hamlin
  38. Christopher Bell

Stage Points

Results from Talladega

Stage 1 Stage 2
Pos. Driver Points Pos. Driver Points
1 Austin Cindric 10 (+ 1 Playoff Point) 1 Joey Logano 10 (+ 1 Playoff Point)
2 Chase Elliott 9 2 Austin Cindric 9
3 William Byron 8 3 Kyle Larson 8
4 Ryan Blaney 7 4 Austin Dillon 7
5 Kyle Busch 6 5 Ross Chastain 6
6 Harrison Burton 5 6 Tyler Reddick 5
7 Christopher Bell 4 7 Chris Buescher 4
8 Brad Keselowski 3 8 Chase Elliott 3
9 Tyler Reddick 2 9 Ryan Preece 2
10 Alex Bowman 1 10 Ty Gibbs 1

Total Stage Points

Rank Driver Points Wins
1 Kyle Larson 110 5
2 (t) Denny Hamlin 76 2
2 (t) Ryan Blaney 76 1
4 Martin Truex Jr. 75 1
5 Chase Elliott 62 1
6 Tyler Reddick 60 1
7 Bubba Wallace 52 0
8 William Byron 50 0
9 Austin Cindric 47 2
10 Christopher Bell 46 2
11 Joey Logano 45 1
12 Ross Chastain 41 1
13 Ty Gibbs 40 2
14 Brad Keselowski 35 0
15 Kyle Busch 32 0
16 Chase Briscoe 27 0
17 Daniel Suarez 25 0
18 (t) Alex Bowman 24 0
18 (t) Michael McDowell 24 1
20 (t) Chris Buescher 18 0
20 (t) Todd Gilliland 18 0
22 (t) Austin Dillon 17 0
22 (t) John H. Nemechek 17 0
22 (t) Josh Berry 17 0
25 (t) Erik Jones 15 0
25 (t) Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 15 0
27 Ryan Preece 13 0
28 Harrison Burton 12 0
29 Corey LaJoie 4 0
30 Noah Gragson 3 0
31 Daniel Hemric 2 0

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(Top photo credit: Nigel Kinrade Photography)

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